Recent Articles

By Geoff Considine, Ph. D.
Why MLPs Belong in Your Portfolio
One would think that an asset class yielding 7% and carrying less volatility than do equities would be popular with investors. Yet, despite those attributes, master limited partnerships (MLPs) remain unknown or ignored by large numbers of investors. The case for MLPs is compelling, so it’s time for a deep examination of the special properties of this asset class.

See full article at AdvisorPerspectives.com....
Gassed Up but No Place to Go
When a great investor points to a vastly underpriced asset, a natural first reaction is to devise the best strategy for buying it. Sometimes, however, the impediments to that strategy prove too great, something anyone will soon discover who listens to Jeremy Grantham’s assertion that “everyone who has a brain should be thinking of how to make money” long-term on natural gas.

See full article at AdvisorPerspectives.com....
Dr. Andrew Lo: ‘Buy and Hold” Does Not Work Anymore
See full article at Morningstar.com... The MIT/Sloan School of Management professor and Director of MIT’s Laboratory for Financial Engineering has been widely quoted on the implications of the 2008 financial crisis. One theme that Dr. Lo emphasizes repeatedly is that the risks associated with different asset classes can vary dramatically over time and for this reason, risk must be tracked, forecasted and budgeted. In a world in which the risk of any given asset class (and therefore, also the risk of any portfolio of asset classes) can change dramatically in a short period of time, a passive buy-and-hold approach may, in fact, result in unacceptable levels of volatility.
See full article at Morningstar.com...
‘The Greatest Anomaly in Finance:’ Understanding and Exploiting the Outperformance of Low-Beta Stocks
If I told you that there is an easy-to-exploit market anomaly that has enabled investors to consistently and substantially outperform the market with less risk for more than four decades, your first instinct might be to roll your eyes. After all, the unending quest to improve returns while lowering risk has yielded countless methods with initial promise that subsequently collapse under further scrutiny.

See full article at AdvisorPerspectives.com....
Dividend Stocks vs. Bonds: Are They Worth the Risk?
One of the recurring themes in the financial press in recent years is a warning to income-oriented investors not to pile into dividend-paying stocks to boost portfolio income. The Wall Street Journal has a recent article on this topic titled, “Why Dividend Stocks Aren’t the New Bonds.” This article is motivated by the fact that $17 billion flowed into equity-income funds in 2010 even as $80 billion flowed out of U.S. equity funds.

See full article at Morningstar...
The Disappearing Retirement
We have shifted from a society in which employers provided lifetime retirement income via traditional pension plans, to one in which individuals now must manage every aspect of their financial futures, including how much to save and how to invest their retirement savings.

See full article at Morningstar...
The Danger in European Stocks
European equity prices, depressed by fears of a sovereign debt crisis, are cheap to such a degree that William Bernstein, author of The Intelligent Asset Allocator, called them a true bargain. Income-oriented investors, in particular, may be tempted by 4.2% dividend yields and a market-wide P/E ratio of approximately 11. My analysis, however, contradicts Bernstein’s and shows the underlying risk those investments carry.

See full article at AdvisorPerspectives.com....
Reexamining Bill Gross’ Decision to Sell Treasury Bonds
Bill Gross made headlines in February by asserting that U.S. Treasury bonds were not providing enough yield to make them worth the risk and reducing his allocation to zero in the PIMCO Total Return Fund (institutional share class PTTRX). The subsequent rally forced him to admit his mistake in August, but by then his fund was trailing 90% of its peers and having its worst year since 1995. I will examine Gross’ February decision in retrospect, to illustrate its tactical and strategic costs and benefits...
See full article at AdvisorPerspectives.com...
Why High-Yield Bonds Make Sense Today

None other than Gluskin Sheff’s Dave Rosenberg, the widely followed analyst who was been consistently bearish in the current market cycle, said last week that high-yield (HY) bonds are “a good place to be right now.” Recent price declines have made them attractive in the short term, and their risk-adjusted returns make them attractive to longer-term strategic investors.

See full article at AdvisorPerspectives.com...

Improving on the Ultimate Income Portfolio
The Ultimate Income Portfolio, which was published in this newsletter July 6 of last year, has delivered the risk-adjusted returns that I projected. Here’s a detailed look at how last year’s portfolio performed and several ways it can be improved in today’s environment.

See full article at AdvisorPerspectives.com....

Portfolioist.com

Geoff posts frequently to this blog as well as writing the longer articles listed above.

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